All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Arabian Round Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/25 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/21 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
623 |
581 |
650 |
1,238 |
665 |
601 |
593 |
548 |
647 |
612 |
657 |
653 |
689 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
550 |
537 |
653 |
665 |
601 |
593 |
548 |
647 |
612 |
657 |
653 |
689 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Arabian Round Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 209 |
Morgan Tharp |
12 |
20:25 |
20:10 |
19:26 |
|
20:10 |
19:34 |
20:40 |
20:02 |
20:34 |
20:13 |
20:42 |
20:46 |
21:32 |
| 216 |
Lydia Carrell |
12 |
20:26 |
20:23 |
|
|
20:48 |
20:25 |
20:03 |
19:48 |
20:04 |
20:15 |
21:15 |
20:22 |
20:56 |
| 364 |
Alexandria Jenson |
10 |
21:05 |
20:36 |
20:27 |
20:35 |
21:23 |
21:06 |
21:25 |
21:14 |
21:44 |
21:04 |
20:50 |
21:13 |
21:02 |
| 604 |
Emma Gale |
9 |
21:46 |
|
21:53 |
22:47 |
22:00 |
22:01 |
21:29 |
21:51 |
22:05 |
22:09 |
21:53 |
22:16 |
21:35 |
| 856 |
Melinda Cornelius |
11 |
22:24 |
22:18 |
22:20 |
|
22:26 |
22:24 |
23:04 |
21:37 |
21:59 |
22:10 |
22:30 |
23:23 |
22:29 |
| 863 |
Tenley Benz |
9 |
22:25 |
|
|
|
23:49 |
22:37 |
22:00 |
23:37 |
22:48 |
22:17 |
|
22:34 |
22:12 |
| 867 |
Julia Iserloth |
9 |
22:25 |
|
22:44 |
22:56 |
23:33 |
|
23:40 |
22:15 |
22:13 |
22:38 |
22:06 |
22:02 |
22:32 |
| 920 |
Alexandra Overshiner |
12 |
22:31 |
21:52 |
22:09 |
|
22:40 |
22:23 |
21:55 |
23:04 |
22:13 |
22:59 |
22:59 |
|
|
|
Madelyn Ludlow |
11 |
24:35 |
23:21 |
25:29 |
28:17 |
25:14 |
24:28 |
23:31 |
24:30 |
24:27 |
24:25 |
|
|
|
|
Samantha Mrnak |
11 |
25:26 |
26:43 |
25:43 |
25:13 |
25:45 |
25:23 |
24:53 |
25:02 |
25:14 |
25:44 |
|
|
|
|
Khloe Patterson |
11 |
26:40 |
|
27:45 |
27:01 |
25:13 |
26:28 |
|
26:51 |
|
26:19 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
16.1 |
418 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
9.9 |
13.6 |
17.1 |
21.1 |
27.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.6 |
92 |
|
36.6 |
62.1 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
73 |
|
37.2 |
62.1 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Morgan Tharp |
0.0% |
104.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Lydia Carrell |
0.1% |
129.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Morgan Tharp |
100% |
69.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Lydia Carrell |
100% |
70.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Alexandria Jenson |
100% |
106.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Emma Gale |
100% |
138.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80.6% |
| Melinda Cornelius |
100% |
160.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.4% |
| Tenley Benz |
100% |
160.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.6% |
| Julia Iserloth |
100% |
161.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Morgan Tharp |
100% |
8.6 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
5.6 |
8.5 |
10.6 |
12.4 |
13.1 |
11.2 |
9.1 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Lydia Carrell |
100% |
9.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
7.3 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
12.3 |
11.5 |
10.2 |
8.1 |
6.5 |
4.8 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Alexandria Jenson |
100% |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
10.2 |
10.6 |
11.1 |
10.8 |
8.1 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Gale |
100% |
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
6.3 |
8.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Melinda Cornelius |
100% |
37.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Tenley Benz |
100% |
37.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Iserloth |
100% |
37.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Morgan Tharp |
6.8 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
8.3 |
16.2 |
23.2 |
19.5 |
11.0 |
7.0 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lydia Carrell |
7.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
6.7 |
15.8 |
21.1 |
20.3 |
12.5 |
7.7 |
4.7 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alexandria Jenson |
13.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
10.4 |
12.3 |
16.3 |
17.8 |
13.1 |
6.2 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Emma Gale |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
4.2 |
9.6 |
11.9 |
15.8 |
20.6 |
18.5 |
9.6 |
3.8 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
| Melinda Cornelius |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
11.0 |
11.6 |
| Tenley Benz |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
6.4 |
9.5 |
10.9 |
12.1 |
| Julia Iserloth |
25.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
6.2 |
9.4 |
10.7 |
11.2 |
|
